The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical disturbance in the Bay of Campeche that could develop into a depression over the weekend, bringing potential heavy rainfall to parts of Central America and eastern Mexico.
As a large area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche appears to be getting stronger, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) raised the chances of a tropical cyclone forming in the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. The NHC's 8 a.m. report states that the system is located in the eastern part of the Bay and is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatán Peninsula.
Forecasters said that the environment is still not very good for further development as the storm moves across open seas from west to northwest. The National Hurricane Center said that a tropical depression could form this weekend. The storm will then move inland over eastern Mexico on Monday, at which point it will no longer be possible for it to get stronger.
The disturbance is expected to bring heavy rain to Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico through the weekend, even if it does not get a name. This could lead to floods in some areas. The NHC also stated that an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane is prepared to investigate the storm later on Saturday, if necessary, to gain a better understanding of its strength and stability.
At this point, the NHC indicates a 50% chance that the system will develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days.
Tropical Storm Andrea, which quickly formed last week in the central Atlantic, is the only named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season so far. Andrea was the newest named storm in more than ten years. The most recent one was not named until June 30, 2014, which was also a late start.
People living in the affected areas are being asked to stay informed and monitor information from the NHC and local governments as the situation evolves.
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